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Garthnak
User: [info]garthnak
Name: Garthnak
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"Nobody can be so amusingly arrogant as a young man who has just discovered an old idea and thinks it is his own."
–-Sydney J. Harris
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Just as I predicted.

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Another year, another (u)VIG, this time for a primary election. I read the ballot so you don't have to! I realize I am horribly late with this one - hell, I didn't start this till 2am on Super Tuesday morning. But maybe some of you will see it and care before you go to the polls, or at least it might provide some interesting post-election wrap-up for you. On we go!

So the first question on the ballot, of course, would be - who are you voting for as your party's candidate for President? Well, let's look at these choices...

Oh. God help us.

Well, it isn't all bad. I see Ron Paul on the Republican ticket, that's who I'll be voting for, of course. And Mike Gravel on the Democrat ticket, he's pretty cool. But the rest of them... Well, let's just say I'm not very excited about the prospects for who will actually be the next "leader of the 'free' world". I hate to say it, but of the front-runners, Obama seems the least evil; but (as we all know) when you vote for the lesser evil, you still get evil. He's not nearly as hip and exciting as many of my peers seem to think he is; just another re-packaged mainstream candidate, champing at the bit to deliver you more of the same.

So with a heavy heart, I turn to my favorite part - the propositions. Let's see what we have here...

Proposition Vote Why? (summary)
91 NO Don't bother to vote yes on this one, we passed it in 2006 when it was called "1A" - but for some convoluted procedural reasons it got added to the ballot again this year. If you're interested, I favored a weak yes vote on 1A.
92 NO

HAHAHA. New spending on schools. I guess you can guess how I'm voting in this lovely, but it doesn't matter what I say, because California is going to gladly pass it anyway. We love spending more money on the broken California school system, just hoping against hope that throwing money at the problem will make it go away SOME day.

To get into specifics about this prop, while it doesn't pass any new bonds (that's a nice change), it does create a lovely, ginormous new bureaucracy so that community colleges can be administrated from the state level. BAD. Taking control out of local hands is ridiculous, no matter how much autonomy they claim they'll be granted. Local Boarrds of Trustees are the right way to manage local public schools.

The other thing that this prop does is reduce fees from $20/unit to $15/unit. Now, I know, I know, you college students are thinking...great! 25% discount for me. (I know, I'm assuming selfish voting, which is not necessarily the case) But hear me out. Lower fees means more money taken from the general fund, especially under the new spending plan that the proposition establishes. The proponents of the proposition say it "does not raise taxes", but come on - how is this new spending going to be paid for in the long haul? We can't keep borrowing ourselves into prosperity forever. Community colleges should be less expensive than normal college, but they should still be essentially user-fee based unless you're on public assistence (which roughly 25% of community college attendees are anyway).

93 NO

This is a silly scheme for certain legislators who would've been term-limited out to hold onto their seats. It says it "reduces" term limits, but because of the way the system works, it actually increases them for most people who actually serve.

If you vote yes on this, you're a sucker.

94 MAYBE

Now THESE are actually a little tricky for me on libertarian grounds.

On the one hand, I'm all for increased freedom. That's the standard libertarian in me. These tribes want to put in more slot machines? Awesome! Why should I give a crap? The more the merrier. On the other hand, it increases taxes on the casinos, and I never vote for new tax increases. Decisions, decisions.

Another issue is that of monopoly/oligopoly. Not only does this only apply to Indian tribes, it's only a handful of them. This is essentially a boon for a special interest group. Is that something we want to be supporting?

In the end, I'm not sure how I want to vote on these. I'd like expanded gambling in California - hell, what I actually want is free gaming all across the state, not just on the land of a few Indian tribes. And the new taxes aren't that bad a deal for the casinos, given the vast quantities of increased revenues they'd be capable of. I also have a sore spot at the Indian tribes for campaigning for Cruz Bustamante during the recall campaign. Though of course I'd never vote based on that alone, it does give me pause about the "special interest group" issue. I hate State-legislated oligopolies in all their other forms, so why should Indian gaming be different?

In the end, I think I'm going to vote no on these. But it's not a strong no. I'd say I'm open to arguments, but...I'll be voting in about six hours.

95 MAYBE
96 MAYBE
97 MAYBE

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Alright, I know some people have been asking for this for a while, and I'm already later than I said I'd be...but here we go:

Uncle Garthnak's 2006 California Voter Information Guide!

This year I'm doing something different, though.  I noticed the existence of a (very Web2.0-ey) website called theballot.org which was created expressly for the purpose of creating voter information guides.  And so, I have posted my guide on their site this year!  To view it, click here.

As a quick overview, I will be voting yes on propositions 1A, 85, and 90 and no on all the rest.  If you vote with me on only one proposition this year, please make it 90.  Eminent domain abuse has to stop.

Oh, and aside from the usual commentary on my positions (which I know some of you disagree with), I also welcome input on the whole theballot.org experience.  Do you prefer it or not to my previous format?  It's a little easier to edit since it doesn't require me to write all the HTML myself, and it provides a (very) few community features - though I doubt I'll use them.  It also should prove much more printer-friendly than my old guides.  But, comments and criticism are always welcome.

Some previous (u)VIGs and related posts:
* For what it's worth, I now disagree with some of the economic reasoning in this post, especially since the current budget deficit has ballooned out of all proportion.  I no longer even pretend to defend most of Bush's economic policies, and simply gawk in amazement.

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Update: Missed Orange County's Measure A.

Alright, everybody - a bit late this year, and I'm sure it doesn't matter for those of you who vote absentee, but by popular request: My annual voter information guide for this year's primary election!

Now, there's only two state props this year, and since they're a bond measure and a tax (respectively) they're both easy votes for me: No and no.  But let's have a little more analysis (further detail in the "Notes" cut below):

Proposition Vote Why? (summary)
81 NO Further debt for our children, in an already bankrupt state with $50 billion in bond debt?  No thanks.  Another $1.2 billion cost for this state is an unnecessary extravagance - particularly when applied to libraries, an institution that is rapidly being obsoleted by technology.
82NORob Reiner's precious preschool initiative, which further taxes an already over-taxed minority in order to pay for - what?  An increase in preschool attendance of less than 5%?  Turning a largely private institution into a government-run school (and we all see how well THOSE are working)?  No way.  Preschools are fine the way they are.  California does not need yet another tool of State indoctrination.
AYES(Orange County only) A restriction on eminent domain? Hell yes. I shouldn't even have to expound on this.
Notes )
A rationale for my fellow anarchists )

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And once again, it's Uncle Garthnak's California Voter Information Guide, 2005 edition!  Are you ready, kids? Let's go.

Proposition Vote Why? (summary)
73 YES Parental rights.  I don't want my daughter to undertake elective surgery without my knowledge, at the very least.
74 YES Nobody deserves tenure after only two years of employment, teachers or otherwise.  74 will help districts screen their teachers more appropriately and thoroughly.  That can't really be bad.
75 YES Stop forcing teachers to pay for political causes they do not support.  Unions are not political parties; their job is to negotiate with their employers.  If members wish to donate to their union, that is their decision - and it should not be the union's right to forcefully extract campaign contributions.  And the unions' reaction to this is absolutely disgusting.  I urge you to post a comment if you believe the uion's arguments against are at all defensible.

Besides, the argument in favor was penned in part by Uncle Milty!  How can we go wrong? ;-)
76 YES California is still bankrupt, in part because the governor is being a weanie to the special interest groups (though no more than any other politician), but also because he can not cut funding in certain areas that take up most of the budget, like education.  76 fixes that, forces legislators to be slightly more careful about spending, and gives the governor more latitude to do his job.
77 YES Redistricting in the hands of judges instead of politicians.  I like it.  Let's cut the "ribbon of shame".
78 NO Legislated drug discounts?  You have got to be kidding me.  Both 78 and 79 (though particularly 79) are band-aid solutions to a problem created by the government to begin with - ridculous restrictions on the healthcare industry.  Why are drugs so costly?  Is it because the evil pharmaceutical companies are trying to squeeze every penny out of seniors and the disabled?  No.  It's because the government already assumes pharmaceutical companies are evil, and forces them to jump through a billion hoops to get drug approval.  To cover their costs, they have to charge high prices.

Prices are set the way they are by the marketplace, not by the drug companies.  The marketplace is telling us something - drugs are expensive.  A discount card program will inevitably lead to price controls, which will lead to higher costs in the long-run and shortages right away.  There is no way to get around this.

Want to fix healthcare?  Want to help seniors?  End socialized healthcare in the US rather than expanding it.  It really sucks.
79 NO
80 NO California's "deregulation" of the energy industry was indeed disastrous.  But that was because it was only "deregulation" rather than, you know, actual deregulation.  The State still negotiated the deals, still controlled the transmission, and screwed everything up.  That's why we removed Davis, remember?

The solution is not reregulation.  Deregulation is a fine idea, as long as you  actually deregulate.  We still haven't done so in California.  What we need to do is expand deregulation - not turn back the clock to the nightmare of central planning that it used to be.
Notes )

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Via Econlog, a couple of articles comparing government to food selection, both very good.  First, Chris Dillow from Stumbling and Mumbling:
I’ve got an idea that would revolutionize the way we do our weekly shopping.

Every few years, we all vote for our favourite supermarket company. The one that gets more votes across the country than any other then gets to deliver our shopping every week to all of us, regardless of whom we voted for. It delivers goods of its own choosing, at prices that it sets. It will make us buy Pedigree Chum even if we don’t have a dog. If we refuse to pay, the supermarket can throw us into prison. And if we try to buy food from other shops, we will still have to pay the winning supermarket.

After a few years, at a time of the supermarket’s choosing, we get to hold another vote. This is the only say we get about the prices we’re charged or the food we get.

Now, this is probably the stupidest idea you’ve ever heard. But it’s exactly how we buy our political services.
A related story from Reason by Wil Wilkinson:
Imagine you live in a town where you are required to pay several thousand dollars of taxes each year into a public fund that is used to buy food for the entire community. There is a publicly elected “Menu Board” that determines each year’s offerings. You wanted rye this year? Sorry! The Board voted for Wonder Bread. Again! You could, in principle, opt out of the public food system and buy rye, pumpernickel, or seven grain oat-nut crunch at a fancy private store. But you’ve already paid thousands in taxes, and can’t afford to pay twice for everything you eat. The Menu Board picks it. You eat it.

Imagine the controversy. Vegetarians (“You’ll get lentil loaf and like it!”) will lock horns with the Atkins lobby (“You can have my bacon when you pry it from my dead cold fingers!”) to wrest control of the Menu Board. The kosher set will fight against shrimp-lovers; Mormons will rail against the Starbucks crowd; Hindus will agitate against the forces of barbeque.

Public school boards and curriculum committees are like menu boards for our children’s minds. Isn’t what we teach our children more important than what we feed them? Bitter and divisive conflict over curriculum is inevitable. Miller and Levine’s Biology is to creationists what pork is to Muslims. Getting a Cobb County sticker with your biology book is like getting a little note with your pork chop: “Warning: Not Halal.”
And, via a commenter on the Dillow article above, "What If Supermarkets were Run like Schools?" by Mark Harrison.

I am becoming increasingly of the opinion that our children are in dire straits if something is not done quickly (ie, within the next 10 years) about the public school situation.  Public schools are not cutting it, and throwing more money at the problem* is not helping.  Why do we have so much choice for supermarkets to provide food, which is vital - but so very little choice for schools, which are just as vital?  Why is this inefficient bureaucratized monopoly allowed to persist in spite of all of its shortcomings?  Have people really been so fully indoctrinated that they can not possibly imagine a world without public schools, that they believe something so necessary would be allowed to die if it were not provided by the State?  I just don't buy it.

School vouchers are probably our best bet right now - anything to put the fire to the feet of the people who are currently failing our children and demanding more money at the same time.  While I realise some people (*cough*public school teachers*cough*) find the idea just horrible, it seems to me the reasons are generally more of ignorance or stubbornness than of legitimate and fair consideration.  Talk about "reactionary" thinking - if you mention the word "voucher" around some teachers, they seem ready to bite your head off.  Who knew teachers were so..."conservative"?

* Updated: Since apparently the UC Hastings proposition search link was just for my session, it timed out. I have added below a table of education ballot propositions that have passed over the last 20 years.

Click here and search for "education and bond" and check "Passed". Over the last 20 years, I find no fewer than 14 spending propositions:
YearProp #NameBond issueEstimated Cost w/Interest
198426State School Building Lease-Purchase Bond Law of 1984$450,000,000$922,000,000
198653Green-Hughes Shool Builging Lease-Purchase Bond Law Of 1986$800,000,000$1,200,000,000
198656Higher Education Facilities Bond Act Of 1986$400,000,000$700,000,000
198875School Facilities Bond Act Of 1988$800,000,000$1,430,000,000
198878Higher Education Facilities Bond Act Of 1988$600,000,000$1,000,000,000
1988791988 School Facilities Bond Act$800,000,000$1,430,000,000
1990121Higher Education Facilities Bond Act Of June 1990$450,000,000$905,000,000
19901231990 School Facilities Bond Act$800,000,000$1,430,000,000
1990146School Facilities Bond Act Of 1990$800,000,000$1,430,000,000
1992152School Facilities Bond Act of 1992$1,900,000,000$3,300,000,000
1992153Higher Education Facilities Bond Act of June 1992$900,000,000$1,560,000,000
19921551992 School Facilities Bond Act$900,000,000$1,560,000,000
1996203Public Education Facilities Bond Act of 1996$3,000,000,000$5,210,000,000
19981AClass Size Reduction Kindergarten-University Public Education Facilities Bond Act of 1998$9,200,000,000$15,200,000,000
Total:$21,800,000,000$37,277,000,000

You may notice that some of these appear to be identical, except for a slightly different name and a different number - but they are in the same year. This is not a duplication - the voters passed two bond measures in both elections of the same year, at least thrice. In addition to this, note that in California public education facilities are allocated fully 40% of the annual state General Fund budget.

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Just to let you all know, I've made a couple of updates to my Voter Information Guide. My position on Prop 66 has changed from "Yes" to "Maybe", and my position on Prop 68 has changed from "Maybe" to "No". More info in the guide itself.

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Just because people are beginning to irritate me with their talk of the "huge deficit" of over 500 billion dollars, I'm going to post some actual facts.  You have to realize that "500 billion dollars" is just an arbitrary figure outside of context.  What is the context of a deficit in a nation, then?  Gross Domestic Product (GDP).

u.S. Spending And Revenue In Relation To GDP.GIF
(Source)


Clearly, we are not really worse off than we were in most of Clinton's term.  The current "high deficit" is a political bogeyman, so I would appreciate it if people would please stop citing it as some sort of magical battlecry.

Edit: Another chart

That said, I hate Bush's spending policies, mostly because they are the same as any Democrat's spending policies (minus any saving graces).  Bush is turning the "fiscal responsibility" party on it's head, and I do not appreciate that in the slightest.  But trust me, if you think the deficit is bad now, wait till you see what it's like with truly socialized health care.  The money has to come from somewhere - either the deficit, or they raise all our taxes again.  Either way is the wrong solution.  And Bush is looking even worse than his dad.

Oh, and while I'm on the issue of politics, let's take a look at propositions on the California ballot for March:
  • Prop 55 - Bad idea. 12.3 billion dollar bond for education. Education is already half of the California state budget, and we are already in serious financial trouble. This will just drive more businesses out of the state as the burden is shifted onto them.  How about we wait till we're not bankrupt, huh? VOTE NO
  • Prop 56 - Bad idea. Let's the legislature pass tax increases with only a 55% vote instead of 2/3rds.  Keeping the need for agreement high is a GOOD thing, especially when we're dealing with expanding an already enormous government. See here for more info. VOTE NO
  • Prop 57 - Jury's still out. On the one hand, I want to support Arny's bid at bringing the deficit back around.  On the other hand, this is a huge bond measure which is inevitably going to have to be paid off through taxes.  I probably won't decide on this till I'm in the voting booth.  VOTE YOUR CONSCIENCE
  • Prop 58 - Good idea. Supposedly forces a balanced budget, though I haven't read the text of the law yet.  The arguments against seem specious.  VOTE YES

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